Contributor: Thomas M. Gibbons, CHMM

Business Title: Senior Environmental Engineer

Contact Information:
URS Corporation - New York
1515 Broadway, 35th Floor
New York, NY 10036
Phone: 212 642 7510
Fax: 212 391 4565
Beeper: 917-802-7117
Email: Tom_Gibbons@urscorp.com

Affiliation: URS Corporation is one of the industry's leading engineering, environmental and construction services firms serving government agencies and private industrial and commercial companies worldwide. Our professional staff includes engineers with expertise in the full spectrum of disciplines, as well as planners, scientists, environmental specialists, information management specialists, architects and construction managers. With a network of offices in 230 key cities, we have the resources to achieve our clients' goals-whether for a large, multiphase project or a specialized assignment. Headquartered in San Francisco, URS is a publicly owned company listed on the New York and Pacific Stock Exchanges as URS. The company has 15,600 employees with operations in 30 countries

Biography: Mr. Gibbons has over 14 years of experience in environmental assessment, abatement and management consulting. His broad base of environmental experience includes environmental assessments for the USPS; environmental due diligence for commercial real estate transactions; design and management of asbestos and lead-based paint abatement projects; environmental compliance audits; operations and maintenance planning, and training. Mr. Gibbons received an AB degree in Engineering from Lafayette College and a Diploma from New York University in Building Construction Management.

Title of Poster Presentation: Global Warming and Land Use Change

Author: Thomas M. Gibbons

Key Words: Kyoto Protocol, Global Warming, Human Factors, Land Use Change

Abstract:
Objective & Scope: The objective is to present a review of current information from reports and studies regarding the causes and predicted effects of global warming.

Issues: Catastrophic warming projections were recently reported by the United Nation's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The findings of some studies conflict with the IPCC's report and suggest that the warming trend is a natural fluctuation. Other findings suggest that land use changes have a more significant affect on climate change than green house gas emissions. The Kyoto Protocol calls for the reduction of such emissions by an average of 5% from 1990 levels by 2010. UN sponsored climate talks ended in November without an agreement on how to reduce emissions.

Developments: Fear that global warming is caused by green house gas emissions resulted in the Kyoto Protocol of 1997. Dire global warming projections have encouraged the development of innovative technologies such as fuel cells, high efficiency homes and on-line trading of green house gases. In May 2001 talks will resume in Bonn.

Conclusion: Most scientists agree that the average global temperatures will increase by about 1-degree Celsius by 2100. While green house gases do contribute to global warming other factors such as land use change may be more significant.